方法对比

	稳健性敏感性分析	不确定性量化
领域	仿真	仿真
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1990s–2000s	Seminal modern form: 2002
提出者	Saltelli, A. and colleagues	Norbert Wiener (polynomial chaos, 1938); extended to Wiener–Askey scheme by Xiu & Karniadakis (2002)
类型	Simulation-based robustness assessment pipeline	Computational uncertainty analysis framework
开创性文献	Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M., & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. Wiley. ISBN: 9780470059975	Xiu, D. & Karniadakis, G.E. (2002). The Wiener-Askey Polynomial Chaos for Stochastic Differential Equations. SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 24(2), 619–644.
别名	RSA, Robust SA, Sensitivity Analysis under Uncertainty, Uncertainty-robust sensitivity analysis	UQ, polynomial chaos expansion, PCE, Kriging surrogate
相关	3	9
摘要	Robust Sensitivity Analysis (RSA) systematically evaluates how much variation in model outputs can be attributed to uncertainty or variation in model inputs, with an explicit focus on conclusions that remain valid across a wide range of plausible input conditions. It goes beyond standard sensitivity analysis by asking not only which inputs matter most, but which findings are truly robust — stable regardless of assumptions made under uncertainty.	Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a computational framework for systematically measuring how uncertainty in the inputs of a model propagates into uncertainty in its outputs. Building on Wiener's polynomial chaos theory (1938) and formalised for general stochastic problems by Xiu and Karniadakis (2002), UQ uses two primary strategies: Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE), which represents the model output as a series of orthogonal polynomials matched to the input distributions, and Kriging (Gaussian process) surrogates, which replace an expensive simulation with a fast statistical approximation fitted to a small set of carefully chosen runs.