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| 稳健非线性自回归分布式滞后 (Robust NARDL) 模型× | 分位数回归× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 计量经济学 | 计量经济学 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 2014–2020s | 1978 |
| 提出者≠ | Extension of Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) NARDL framework with robust (outlier-resistant) estimation | Koenker & Bassett |
| 类型≠ | Nonlinear time-series regression with robust estimation | Conditional quantile regression |
| 开创性文献≠ | Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt (pp. 281–314). Springer. DOI ↗ | Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗ |
| 别名≠ | Robust Nonlinear ARDL, Outlier-Robust NARDL, Robust Asymmetric ARDL, R-NARDL | conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon |
| 相关≠ | 3 | 5 |
| 摘要≠ | Robust NARDL marries the asymmetric cointegration framework of Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) with outlier-resistant estimation. It decomposes a regressor into positive and negative partial sums, tests for asymmetric long-run relationships via a bounds test, and replaces the OLS criterion with an M- or MM-estimator to guard against leverage points and additive outliers common in macroeconomic and financial time series. | Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails. |
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