方法对比

	稳健事件树分析	失效模式与影响分析 (FMEA)
领域	实验设计	实验设计
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1960s (ETA); robust extensions ~1990s–2000s	1949 (military); widespread industrial adoption 1970s–1980s
提出者	H.E. Lambert / Nuclear industry (ETA); robust extensions developed through aerospace and nuclear risk research	U.S. Military / NASA (formalized by MIL-P-1629, 1949)
类型	Probabilistic risk assessment with uncertainty propagation	Proactive risk analysis technique
开创性文献	Bedford, T., & Cooke, R. M. (2001). Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 9780521773201	Stamatis, D. H. (2003). Failure Mode and Effect Analysis: FMEA from Theory to Execution (2nd ed.). ASQ Quality Press. ISBN: 978-0873895989
别名	Robust ETA, uncertainty-aware event tree analysis, ETA with uncertainty quantification, robust probabilistic event tree	FMEA, Failure Modes and Effects Analysis, FMECA, Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis
相关	6	6
摘要	Robust Event Tree Analysis (Robust ETA) extends classical event tree analysis by explicitly accounting for uncertainty in the probability estimates assigned to each branch. Rather than treating branch probabilities as precise point values, the robust approach represents them as intervals, probability distributions, or imprecise probabilities, then propagates that uncertainty through the tree to produce outcome frequency ranges instead of single numbers. This gives decision-makers a clearer picture of the confidence in risk estimates under realistic conditions of incomplete or conflicting information.	Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) is a structured, proactive risk management technique used to identify potential failure modes in a system, process, or product design, evaluate their consequences, and prioritize corrective actions before failures occur. Originally developed for the U.S. military in 1949 and later adopted by NASA, automotive, and manufacturing industries, FMEA is now a cornerstone quality-engineering tool embedded in standards such as AIAG-VDA and ISO 9001-aligned processes.