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远程德尔菲技术×德尔菲技术×
领域调查方法论调查方法论
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份1950s (classic Delphi); remote/e-Delphi from late 1990s1950s–1963
提出者Olaf Helmer and Norman Dalkey (RAND Corporation; classic Delphi); e-Delphi adapted by various methodologists from late 1990s onwardNorman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation)
类型Iterative expert consensus technique — remote administrationIterative expert consensus technique
开创性文献Hasson, F., Keeney, S., & McKenna, H. (2000). Research guidelines for the Delphi survey technique. Journal of Advanced Nursing, 32(4), 1008–1015. DOI ↗Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467. DOI ↗
别名online Delphi, e-Delphi, virtual Delphi, distributed DelphiDelphi method, Delphi survey, expert consensus method, iterative expert panel
相关46
摘要The Remote Delphi Technique applies the structured iterative consensus process of the classic Delphi method entirely through remote communication channels — email, web-based survey platforms, or dedicated collaboration tools — eliminating the need for geographic co-presence. Experts complete successive questionnaire rounds asynchronously, receiving anonymised statistical summaries of the group's prior responses before each new round, until a pre-defined consensus threshold is reached.The Delphi technique is a structured, multi-round data collection method that harvests and refines expert opinion through iterative questionnaires and controlled feedback. Developed at RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is designed to converge a dispersed expert panel toward a reliable consensus on complex, uncertain, or future-oriented questions — without the conformity pressures of face-to-face group discussion.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Remote Delphi Technique · Delphi Technique. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare