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面板数据安慰剂检验×因果关系的敏感性分析×
领域因果推断因果推断
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份2004-20101983–2002
提出者Bertrand, Duflo & Mullainathan; Abadie, Diamond & HainmuellerPaul R. Rosenbaum (hidden-bias framework); extended by Cinelli & Hazlett (omitted-variable approach)
类型Falsification / validation testDiagnostic / robustness check
开创性文献Bertrand, M., Duflo, E., & Mullainathan, S. (2004). How Much Should We Trust Differences-in-Differences Estimates? Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(1), 249-275. DOI ↗Rosenbaum, P. R. (2002). Observational Studies (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 978-0387989679
别名placebo regression test, falsification test, pseudo-treatment test, in-time placebosensitivity analysis, hidden-bias sensitivity analysis, Rosenbaum sensitivity analysis, omitted-variable sensitivity
相关44
摘要A panel data placebo test is a falsification procedure used to assess the credibility of causal estimates in quasi-experimental panel designs. By applying the same estimation strategy to a period, group, or outcome where no true effect should exist, researchers verify that the observed treatment effect is not merely an artifact of model specification, coincidental trends, or data patterns unrelated to the intervention.Sensitivity analysis for causality assesses how robust a causal conclusion is to unobserved confounding. Rather than assuming all confounders are controlled, it asks: how strong would an unmeasured variable need to be to overturn the estimated effect? It is an indispensable robustness check after any quasi-experimental or observational causal analysis.
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  2. 2 来源
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  1. v1
  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Panel Data Placebo Test · Sensitivity Analysis for Causality. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare