方法对比

	面板式事后设计	队列研究
领域	研究设计	流行病学
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1950s–1970s (synthesized from ex post facto tradition and panel survey research)	Mid-20th century (formal epidemiological design codified ~1950s)
提出者	Developed from Kerlinger's ex post facto framework combined with panel survey methodology (Lazarsfeld, Kerlinger)	Doll & Hill (British Doctors Study, 1951); Snow (cholera, 1854)
类型	Non-experimental longitudinal observational design	Observational longitudinal study design
开创性文献	Kerlinger, F. N. (1986). Foundations of Behavioral Research (3rd ed.). Holt, Rinehart and Winston. ISBN: 978-0030417511	Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S., & Lash, T. L. (2008). Modern Epidemiology (3rd ed.). Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. ISBN: 978-0781755641
别名	panel ex post facto study, longitudinal causal-comparative design, retrospective panel design, panel causal-comparative study	longitudinal study, follow-up study, panel study, incidence study
相关	2	6
摘要	A panel-based ex post facto design tracks the same group of participants across multiple time points to examine how pre-existing differences in an independent variable — one the researcher did not manipulate — are associated with changes in an outcome over time. It merges the temporal depth of panel methodology with the causal-comparative logic of ex post facto research, enabling stronger causal inference than a single cross-sectional snapshot while remaining fully non-experimental.	A cohort study assembles a group of individuals who share a common starting point — typically freedom from the outcome of interest — and follows them over time to observe who develops the outcome. By comparing incidence rates between exposed and unexposed subgroups, researchers can estimate relative risk and absolute risk differences. Cohort studies are the gold-standard observational design for measuring disease incidence and establishing temporal relationships between exposure and outcome.