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在线德尔菲技术×德尔菲技术×
领域调查方法论调查方法论
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份Original Delphi: 1950s–1960s; Online variant: mid-1990s onwards1950s–1963
提出者Olaf Helmer, Norman Dalkey, Nicholas Rescher (RAND Corporation); online adaptation emerged in the 1990s–2000sNorman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation)
类型Iterative expert consensus method (online)Iterative expert consensus technique
开创性文献Hasson, F., Keeney, S., & McKenna, H. (2000). Research guidelines for the Delphi survey technique. Journal of Advanced Nursing, 32(4), 1008–1015. DOI ↗Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467. DOI ↗
别名e-Delphi, electronic Delphi, web-based Delphi, internet DelphiDelphi method, Delphi survey, expert consensus method, iterative expert panel
相关56
摘要The Online Delphi Technique (e-Delphi) is an iterative, web-mediated consensus method in which a geographically dispersed panel of experts responds to successive rounds of structured questionnaires distributed and collected via email or a web platform. Anonymous feedback and controlled statistical summaries are fed back between rounds, guiding panellists toward convergence on priorities, predictions, or recommendations without the social pressures of face-to-face group discussion.The Delphi technique is a structured, multi-round data collection method that harvests and refines expert opinion through iterative questionnaires and controlled feedback. Developed at RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is designed to converge a dispersed expert panel toward a reliable consensus on complex, uncertain, or future-oriented questions — without the conformity pressures of face-to-face group discussion.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Online Delphi Technique · Delphi Technique. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare