方法对比
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| 非线性自回归分布式滞后（NARDL）模型× | 光滑转换自回归 (STAR) 模型× | 系统GMM（Arellano-Bover / Blundell-Bond）× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 计量经济学 | 计量经济学 | 计量经济学 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 2014 | 1994 | 1998 |
| 提出者≠ | Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo | Teräsvirta (1994); van Dijk, Teräsvirta & Franses (2002) | Arellano & Bover (1995); Blundell & Bond (1998) |
| 类型≠ | Asymmetric cointegration / error-correction model | Nonlinear time-series regime-switching model | Dynamic panel data estimator |
| 开创性文献≠ | Shin, Y., Yu, B. & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling Asymmetric Cointegration and Dynamic Multipliers in a Nonlinear ARDL Framework. In: Sickles, R. & Horrace, W. (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt. Springer. DOI ↗ | Teräsvirta, T. (1994). Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89(425), 208–218. DOI ↗ | Arellano, M. & Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297. DOI ↗ |
| 别名≠ | nonlinear ARDL, asymmetric ARDL, Doğrusal Olmayan ARDL (NARDL) | smooth transition autoregressive model, LSTAR, ESTAR, logistic STAR | Arellano-Bover estimator, Blundell-Bond estimator, dynamic panel GMM, Sistem GMM (Arellano-Bover / Blundell-Bond) |
| 相关 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 摘要≠ | The NARDL model, introduced by Shin, Yu and Greenwood-Nimmo in 2014, extends the ARDL framework to capture asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships, testing whether positive and negative changes in a regressor affect the dependent variable differently. | The Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model is a nonlinear time-series model, developed in Teräsvirta's 1994 framework, that lets the dynamics move smoothly rather than abruptly between two regimes. The logistic variant (LSTAR) captures asymmetric business cycles and the exponential variant (ESTAR) captures purchasing-power-parity deviations. | System GMM is a generalized method of moments estimator for dynamic panel models that contain a lagged dependent variable. Introduced by Blundell and Bond (1998), building on Arellano and Bover, it augments the differenced equation of the earlier difference GMM (Arellano-Bond) with the equation in levels to deliver consistent estimates when N is large and T is small. |
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