方法对比

	Multiregional Demography	稳定人口理论
领域	人口学	人口学
方法族	Process / pipeline	Regression model
起源年份	1975	1972
提出者	Andrei Rogers	Alfred J. Lotka; Ansley Coale
类型	Matrix framework for multiregional population dynamics with migration	Mathematical demographic model
开创性文献	Rogers, A. (1975). Introduction to Multiregional Mathematical Demography. John Wiley & Sons, New York. ISBN: 9780471730354	Coale, A. J. (1972). The Growth and Structure of Human Populations: A Mathematical Investigation. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0-691-09357-4
别名	Multiregional Population Analysis, Multiregional Life Table, Rogers Multiregional Model	Lotka-Coale Stable Population Model, Stable Age Distribution Theory, Stationary Population Theory, Kararlı Nüfus Teorisi
相关	4	2
摘要	Multiregional demography extends the classical tools of mathematical demography — the life table, the Leslie matrix, and stable-population theory — from a single closed population to a system of interconnected regions linked by migration. Developed by Andrei Rogers, it tracks people not only by age but by region of residence, modeling birth, death, and interregional movement simultaneously. The result is a unified matrix framework that yields multiregional life tables, projections, and stable regional population shares, making it the foundation for analyzing how migration shapes the size and distribution of populations across space.	Stable Population Theory is a mathematical framework in demography that describes the age structure and growth dynamics of a closed population subject to constant age-specific fertility and mortality schedules over a long period. Foundational work by Alfred J. Lotka established the core integral equation in the early twentieth century, and Ansley Coale's 1972 mathematical synthesis became the definitive theoretical reference, showing that any population exposed to invariant vital rates will converge to a unique stable age distribution growing at a fixed intrinsic rate of natural increase.