方法对比

	Multiple Imputation	Fay-Herriot模型（小区域估计）
领域	统计学	调查方法论
方法族	Process / pipeline	Regression model
起源年份	1987	1979
提出者	Donald B. Rubin	Robert Fay & Roger Herriot
类型	Missing-data handling procedure	Model-based survey estimator
开创性文献	Rubin, D.B. (1987). Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys. Wiley.	Fay, R. E., & Herriot, R. A. (1979). Estimates of income for small places: An application of James-Stein procedures to census data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 269–277.
别名	MICE, Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations, Çoklu Atama (Multiple Imputation — MICE)	SAE, Model-Based Small Area Estimation, Area-Level Model, Küçük Alan Tahmini
相关	1	2
摘要	Multiple Imputation (MI), formally introduced by Donald B. Rubin in 1987, is a principled statistical procedure for handling missing data. Rather than replacing each missing value once, MI fills the gaps m times — each time drawing plausible values from the posterior predictive distribution of the missing data — producing m complete datasets. Each dataset is analysed independently, and the results are combined into a single set of estimates using Rubin's pooling rules. The MICE variant (Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations), popularised by van Buuren and Groothuis-Oudshoorn (2011), extends the approach to mixed variable types by imputing each variable in turn through a sequence of conditional regression models.	Small Area Estimation (SAE) refers to statistical techniques that produce reliable estimates for subpopulations — geographical regions, demographic groups, or administrative units — where direct survey samples are too sparse to yield acceptable precision. The Fay-Herriot model, introduced by Robert Fay and Roger Herriot in 1979, is the canonical area-level SAE model. It supplements weak direct survey estimates with auxiliary covariate information through an empirical Bayes or BLUP framework, substantially reducing mean squared error for small domains.