方法对比

	多期因果效应分析	多期中断时间序列
领域	因果推断	因果推断
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	2015 (base); multi-period extensions 2017–present	2000s-2015
提出者	Brodersen, Gallusser, Koehler, Remy & Scott (Google); extended to multi-period settings by subsequent applied work	Extended from segmented regression / ITS tradition; multi-break formalization developed across epidemiology and health policy literature (2000s-2010s)
类型	Bayesian structural time-series / quasi-experimental	Quasi-experimental time series regression
开创性文献	Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274.	Kontopantelis, E., Doran, T., Springate, D. A., Buchan, I., & Reeves, D. (2015). Regression based quasi-experimental approach when randomisation is not an option: interrupted time series analysis. BMJ, 350, h2750.
别名	multi-period CausalImpact, staggered causal impact, repeated-period causal impact, multi-wave CausalImpact	multi-period ITS, multiple-interruption ITS, segmented time series with multiple breakpoints, MITS
相关	6	5
摘要	Multi-period Causal Impact Analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series framework of Brodersen et al. (2015) to settings where an intervention occurs across multiple distinct periods, is applied at staggered times to different units, or where researchers wish to evaluate cumulative and period-specific effects within a single unified model. It builds a synthetic counterfactual from control covariates and projects it across each intervention window to quantify causal effects.	Multi-period Interrupted Time Series (MITS) extends the classic ITS framework to settings where two or more interventions occur at known time points within the same series. By fitting a segmented regression with multiple breakpoints, MITS estimates the level change and slope change attributable to each intervention while controlling for the underlying secular trend and for the effects of earlier interruptions.