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纵向模型检验研究×确认性研究×
领域研究设计研究设计
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份1970s–1990s (SEM foundations by Joreskog 1970; longitudinal SEM elaborated through 1990s–2000s)1934 (Popper); widely adopted in social sciences from 1960s onward
提出者Synthesized from longitudinal panel design and SEM tradition (Joreskog, Bollen, Singer & Willett)Karl Popper (falsificationism); formalized in behavioral sciences by Paul Meehl and others
类型Quantitative, confirmatory, longitudinal designQuantitative research design
开创性文献Singer, J. D., & Willett, J. B. (2003). Applied Longitudinal Data Analysis: Modeling Change and Event Occurrence. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 978-0195152968Popper, K. R. (1959). The Logic of Scientific Discovery. Hutchinson. ISBN: 978-0415278447
别名longitudinal confirmatory modeling, longitudinal SEM, panel model testing, longitudinal structural modelinghypothesis-testing research, deductive research, theory-testing research, confirmatory study
相关64
摘要Longitudinal model testing research combines repeated measurement across time with formal, a priori structural modeling to confirm or disconfirm hypothesized relationships among constructs. Rather than simply describing change, it tests whether a pre-specified theoretical model — typically a structural equation model or growth model — fits observed data collected at two or more time points. This design supports causal inference more convincingly than cross-sectional approaches by capturing temporal ordering of variables.Confirmatory research is a deductive quantitative design in which the researcher specifies hypotheses derived from existing theory before data collection, then tests whether the data support or refute those hypotheses. Unlike exploratory approaches that generate ideas from data, confirmatory research begins with an established theoretical framework, pre-registers predictions, and applies statistical tests to evaluate those predictions against empirical evidence. It is the backbone of hypothesis-driven social, behavioral, and health science inquiry.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Longitudinal Model Testing Research · Confirmatory Research. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare