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Lexis Diagram×稳定人口理论×
领域人口学人口学
方法族Process / pipelineRegression model
起源年份18751972
提出者Wilhelm LexisAlfred J. Lotka; Ansley Coale
类型Geometric bookkeeping device for demographic events on the age, period, and cohort axesMathematical demographic model
开创性文献Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512Coale, A. J. (1972). The Growth and Structure of Human Populations: A Mathematical Investigation. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0-691-09357-4
别名Lexis surface, Age-period-cohort diagram, Lexis grid, Lexis DiyagramıLotka-Coale Stable Population Model, Stable Age Distribution Theory, Stationary Population Theory, Kararlı Nüfus Teorisi
相关42
摘要The Lexis diagram is a geometric bookkeeping device that places every demographic event in a two-dimensional grid of age against calendar time, so that each person's life traces a diagonal line and each cohort fans out as a band of parallel lifelines. Named after the German statistician Wilhelm Lexis, it is the foundational drawing of formal demography: it makes the otherwise confusing relationship between age, period, and birth cohort visible, and it tells the analyst exactly which deaths, births, and person-years belong together when a rate is computed.Stable Population Theory is a mathematical framework in demography that describes the age structure and growth dynamics of a closed population subject to constant age-specific fertility and mortality schedules over a long period. Foundational work by Alfred J. Lotka established the core integral equation in the early twentieth century, and Ansley Coale's 1972 mathematical synthesis became the definitive theoretical reference, showing that any population exposed to invariant vital rates will converge to a unique stable age distribution growing at a fixed intrinsic rate of natural increase.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Lexis Diagram · Stable Population Theory. 于 2026-06-25 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare