方法对比

	Journey to Crime Analysis	Routine Activity Theory
领域	Criminology	Criminology
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	2000	1979
提出者	D. Kim Rossmo (geographic profiling); journey-to-crime tradition	Lawrence E. Cohen & Marcus Felson
类型	Spatial analysis of offender travel and home-location inference	Theoretical framework for explaining the occurrence of predatory crime
开创性文献	Rossmo, D. K. (2000). Geographic Profiling. CRC Press. ISBN: 9780849381294	Cohen, L. E., & Felson, M. (1979). Social change and crime rate trends: A routine activity approach. American Sociological Review, 44(4), 588–608.
别名	Journey-to-Crime Modeling, Geographic Profiling, Crime Trip Analysis, Distance-Decay Crime Analysis	RAT, Routine Activities Approach, Crime Triangle Framework, Cohen-Felson Theory
相关	4	4
摘要	Journey-to-crime analysis studies how far and where offenders travel from an anchor point — usually home — to commit crimes, and inverts that pattern to infer an unknown offender's likely base. The aggregate distance-decay regularity (most crimes occur near the offender's home, with frequency falling off with distance) underlies geographic profiling, formalized by D. Kim Rossmo in 2000 to prioritize the search for serial offenders.	Routine activity theory explains predatory crime not by the supply of motivated offenders but by the everyday structure of legal activities that brings offenders, targets, and the absence of guardians together in space and time. Proposed by Lawrence Cohen and Marcus Felson in 1979, it argues that crime rates can rise even when offender motivation is constant, because changes in how people work, shop, and spend leisure time alter the opportunities for crime.