方法对比

	Ideal Point Estimation	Manifesto Coding
领域	Political Science	Political Science
方法族	Latent structure	Process / pipeline
起源年份	2004	2001
提出者	Clinton, Jackman & Rivers (Bayesian formulation); Poole & Rosenthal (spatial tradition)	Manifesto Research Group / Comparative Manifesto Project (CMP/MARPOR)
类型	Latent-variable spatial model of binary choice data	Quantitative content analysis of party manifestos
开创性文献	Clinton, J., Jackman, S., & Rivers, D. (2004). The Statistical Analysis of Roll Call Data. American Political Science Review, 98(2), 355–370.	Budge, I., Klingemann, H.-D., Volkens, A., Bara, J., & Tanenbaum, E. (2001). Mapping Policy Preferences: Estimates for Parties, Electors, and Governments 1945–1998. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780199244003
别名	Ideal point model, Item response theory for roll calls, Spatial voting model, Bayesian ideal points	CMP coding, MARPOR coding, Manifesto content analysis, Party manifesto coding
相关	4	4
摘要	Ideal point estimation recovers the latent policy positions — ideal points — of political actors from their observed binary choices, most often legislators' yea/nay votes on roll calls. Building on the spatial theory of voting and formalized as a Bayesian item-response model by Clinton, Jackman, and Rivers in 2004, it places each legislator and each bill in a low-dimensional policy space and estimates positions so that the probability a legislator votes yea increases as the bill's 'yea' outcome moves closer to that legislator's ideal point.	Manifesto coding is the quantitative content-analysis methodology of the Comparative Manifesto Project (CMP/MARPOR) for measuring parties' policy preferences from their election manifestos. Trained coders break each manifesto into quasi-sentences and assign every unit to one of a fixed set of policy categories. Counting how often each category appears yields salience measures, and combining pro- and anti- categories produces position scores such as the left–right RILE index, giving comparable estimates of party positions across more than fifty democracies since 1945.