方法对比
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| 格兰杰因果检验× | 协整检验(Johansen / Engle-Granger)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 计量经济学 | 计量经济学 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 1969 | 1988 |
| 提出者≠ | Clive W. J. Granger | Engle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988) |
| 类型≠ | Time-series predictive causality test | Time-series cointegration test |
| 开创性文献≠ | Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗ | Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗ |
| 别名 | Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi | Johansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger) |
| 相关 | 5 | 5 |
| 摘要≠ | The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause. | The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988). |
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