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全局敏感性分析×蒙特卡洛模拟×
领域仿真决策
方法族Process / pipelineMCDM
起源年份1973–20011949
提出者I.M. Sobol (indices, 2001); Morris (screening, 1991); Cukier et al. (FAST, 1973)Metropolis, N., Ulam, S.
类型Variance-based sensitivity decompositionRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
开创性文献Sobol, I.M. (2001). Global Sensitivity Indices for Nonlinear Mathematical Models and Their Monte Carlo Estimates. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 55(1–3), 271–280. DOI ↗Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
别名variance decomposition, Sobol indices, Morris screening, FAST method
相关40
摘要Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is a family of techniques that decompose the variance of a model's output across its input parameters, quantifying how much each input — and each combination of inputs — contributes to the total uncertainty in the result. Sobol's variance-based indices (2001), Morris's one-at-a-time (OAT) screening (1991), and the Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST, first proposed by Cukier et al. in 1973) are the three most widely used approaches. Together they serve as the standard toolkit for identifying which parameters drive model behaviour and which can be safely fixed.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Global Sensitivity Analysis · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare