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广义自回归条件异方差模型 (GARCH)×指数 GARCH (EGARCH)×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份19861991
提出者Tim BollerslevNelson
类型Conditional volatility modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
开创性文献Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
别名GARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeliexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
相关54
摘要GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGate方法对比: GARCH · EGARCH. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare