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极值理论 (EVT)×指数 GARCH (EGARCH)×
领域金融学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份20011991
提出者Coles (textbook treatment); McNeil, Frey & EmbrechtsNelson
类型Tail / extreme-event modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
开创性文献Coles, S. (2001). An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values. Springer. ISBN: 978-1852334598Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
别名EVT, generalized extreme value, generalized Pareto distribution, peaks over thresholdexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
相关54
摘要Extreme Value Theory is a statistical framework for modelling the rare events that live in the tail of a probability distribution. As developed in Coles (2001) and applied to risk by McNeil, Frey & Embrechts (2005), it offers two standard routes: the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution for block maxima and the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD), used in the peaks-over-threshold approach, for exceedances above a high threshold.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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  1. v1
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Extreme Value Theory · EGARCH. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare