方法对比

	Elo评分系统	Bradley-Terry 模型
领域	决策	决策
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	1978	1952
提出者	Arpad Elo	Ralph Bradley & Milton Terry
类型	Pairwise comparison ranking model	Probabilistic paired comparison model
开创性文献	Elo, A. E. (1978). The Rating of Chessplayers, Past and Present. Arco Publishing. ISBN: 978-0-668-04721-0	Bradley, R. A., & Terry, M. E. (1952). Rank analysis of incomplete block designs: I. The method of paired comparisons. Biometrika, 39(3/4), 324–345.
别名	Elo Rating System, Elo Chess Rating, Elo Skill Rating, Elo Derecelendirme Sistemi	BT Model, Bradley-Terry-Luce Model, Paired Comparison Model, İkili Karşılaştırma Modeli
相关	2	3
摘要	The Elo Rating System is a pairwise comparison-based ranking method developed by Hungarian-American physicist and chess master Arpad Elo and formally published in 1978. Originally designed to assess the relative skill levels of chess players, it assigns each competitor a numerical rating that rises or falls after each encounter based on the expected versus actual outcome. The system assumes that player performance follows a logistic distribution, enabling probabilistic predictions of match results and continuous rating refinement over time.	The Bradley-Terry model is a probabilistic model for paired comparisons that assigns a latent strength parameter to each item and predicts the probability that one item beats another in a head-to-head contest. Introduced by Ralph A. Bradley and Milton E. Terry in 1952, it provides a principled statistical framework for ranking items from pairwise preference data, including incomplete comparison designs where not every pair is directly observed.