方法对比

	Deterrence Analysis	Situational Crime Prevention Analysis
领域	Criminology	Criminology
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1968	1997
提出者	Cesare Beccaria & Jeremy Bentham (classical); Gary Becker & Daniel Nagin (modern)	Ronald V. Clarke
类型	Theory and empirical analysis of how punishment deters offending	Opportunity-reduction framework for crime prevention
开创性文献	Nagin, D. S. (2013). Deterrence in the twenty-first century: A review of the evidence. Crime and Justice, 42(1), 199–263.	Clarke, R. V. (Ed.). (1997). Situational Crime Prevention: Successful Case Studies (2nd ed.). Harrow and Heston. ISBN: 9780911577389
别名	Deterrence Theory, Certainty-Severity-Celerity Analysis, Perceptual Deterrence Analysis, Focused Deterrence Analysis	SCP, Situational Prevention, Opportunity-Reduction Framework, Twenty-Five Techniques of Situational Crime Prevention
相关	4	4
摘要	Deterrence analysis studies how the threat and imposition of legal punishment discourage crime. Rooted in classical criminology and formalized in Gary Becker's economic model, it distinguishes the certainty, severity, and celerity of punishment, separates perceived from objective sanction risk, and uses quasi-experimental and perceptual evidence — synthesized by Daniel Nagin — to test how much, and through what channels, punishment actually deters.	Situational crime prevention (SCP) is a framework, developed by Ronald Clarke, for reducing crime by changing the immediate situations in which it occurs rather than the dispositions of offenders. It diagnoses the specific opportunities that make a crime easy, rewarding, or low-risk and then applies twenty-five practical techniques organized under five mechanisms: increase effort, increase risk, reduce rewards, reduce provocations, and remove excuses.