方法对比
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| 确定性系统动力学× | 敏感性分析× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域≠ | 仿真 | 决策 |
| 方法族≠ | Process / pipeline | MCDM |
| 起源年份≠ | 1961 | 2004 |
| 提出者≠ | Jay W. Forrester | Saltelli, A., Tarantola, S., Campolongo, F., Ratto, M. |
| 类型≠ | Continuous feedback-loop simulation | Robustness wrapper — parameter / weight perturbation sensitivity indices |
| 开创性文献≠ | Forrester, J. W. (1961). Industrial Dynamics. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. ISBN: 9780262560221 | Saltelli, A., Tarantola, S., Campolongo, F., Ratto, M. (2004). Sensitivity Analysis in Practice. Wiley, Chichester DOI ↗ |
| 别名≠ | Deterministic SD, Classical System Dynamics, Continuous Simulation SD, Forrester System Dynamics | — |
| 相关≠ | 5 | 0 |
| 摘要≠ | Deterministic System Dynamics is the classical form of System Dynamics introduced by Jay Forrester in 1961, using fixed (non-probabilistic) ordinary differential equations to simulate stock-and-flow structures and feedback loops over time. All model parameters and relationships are specified as single-valued constants or deterministic functions, yielding a single trajectory for each simulation run. It is widely used in policy analysis, business strategy, ecology, and public health modeling. | SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS (Sensitivity Analysis — Systematic assessment of output variation w.r.t. input perturbations) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Saltelli, A., Tarantola, S., Campolongo, F., Ratto, M. in 2004. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result. |
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