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德尔菲技术×焦点小组研究×
领域调查方法论质性
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份1950s–19631940s (sociological origin); modern applied form from the 1980s–1990s
提出者Norman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation)Robert K. Merton (sociological precursor, 1940s); popularised in applied research by Richard A. Krueger
类型Iterative expert consensus techniqueQualitative data collection method
开创性文献Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467. DOI ↗Krueger, R.A. & Casey, M.A. (2014). Focus Groups: A Practical Guide for Applied Research (5th ed.). Sage. ISBN: 978-1483365244
别名Delphi method, Delphi survey, expert consensus method, iterative expert panelfocus group discussion, FGD, group interview, Odak Grup Araştırması
相关66
摘要The Delphi technique is a structured, multi-round data collection method that harvests and refines expert opinion through iterative questionnaires and controlled feedback. Developed at RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is designed to converge a dispersed expert panel toward a reliable consensus on complex, uncertain, or future-oriented questions — without the conformity pressures of face-to-face group discussion.Focus group research is a qualitative data-collection method in which a trained moderator guides structured discussions with homogeneous groups of six to ten participants to explore ideas, attitudes, and perceptions on a defined topic. Developed from sociological roots in the 1940s and systematised for applied research by Krueger and Casey, the method leverages group interaction as a data source — revealing not just what people think, but how they negotiate and articulate views in a social setting.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Delphi Technique · Focus Group. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare