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领域调查方法论质性
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份1950s–1963Systematised through Krippendorff's methodology work; 4th edition 2018
提出者Norman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation)Klaus Krippendorff (systematic formulation); roots in early 20th-century communications research
类型Iterative expert consensus techniqueQualitative / mixed-method research technique
开创性文献Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467. DOI ↗Krippendorff, K. (2018). Content Analysis: An Introduction to Its Methodology (4th ed.). Sage. ISBN: 978-1506395661
别名Delphi method, Delphi survey, expert consensus method, iterative expert panelİçerik Analizi, systematic content coding, quantitative content analysis
相关65
摘要The Delphi technique is a structured, multi-round data collection method that harvests and refines expert opinion through iterative questionnaires and controlled feedback. Developed at RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is designed to converge a dispersed expert panel toward a reliable consensus on complex, uncertain, or future-oriented questions — without the conformity pressures of face-to-face group discussion.Content analysis is a systematic research technique for reducing text, visual, or media material into coded categories so that patterns can be counted, compared, and interpreted. Formalised by Klaus Krippendorff in his widely cited methodology textbook (latest edition 2018), the method sits at the boundary of qualitative and quantitative inquiry: it imposes structured, replicable coding on inherently meaning-laden material.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Delphi Technique · Content Analysis. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare