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卫生经济学中的决策分析模型×预算影响分析 (BIA)×
领域卫生经济学卫生经济学
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份19752005
提出者Pauker & Kassirer (medical decision analysis, Massachusetts General Hospital)Sullivan, Mauskopf, and colleagues (ISPOR task force)
类型MethodMethod
开创性文献Pauker, S. G., & Kassirer, J. P. (1975). Therapeutic Decision Making: A Cost-Benefit Analysis. New England Journal of Medicine, 293(5), 229-234. DOI ↗Sullivan, S. D., Mauskopf, J. A., Augustovski, F., et al. (2014). Budget Impact Analysis—Principles of Good Practice: Report of the ISPOR 2012 Budget Impact Analysis Good Practice II Task Force. Value in Health, 17(1), 5-14. DOI ↗
别名decision analysis, decision tree, decision model, health economic modelBIA, financial impact assessment, budget consequence analysis
相关55
摘要Decision analytic modeling is a systematic framework for comparing health interventions by integrating evidence on probabilities, outcomes, costs, and patient preferences into a quantitative model. Developed by Pauker and Kassirer in 1975, decision analysis structures clinical uncertainty and economic trade-offs, enabling transparent comparison of treatment options and identification of optimal strategies. Used in health technology assessment, clinical practice guideline development, and resource allocation decisions.Budget impact analysis estimates the financial consequences (net costs or savings) of implementing a new health technology in a specific healthcare system or population over a short time horizon (typically 1–5 years). Distinct from cost-effectiveness analysis (which compares health outcomes per dollar), BIA answers a budgetary question: 'If we adopt this new drug/device, how much will it cost our health system next year?' Widely used by hospital procurement committees, insurance formularies, and government health budgets to assess financial feasibility and reimbursement decision.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Decision Analytic Modeling · Budget Impact Analysis. 于 2026-06-19 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare