方法对比

	Crime Script Analysis	Deterrence Analysis
领域	Criminology	Criminology
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1994	1968
提出者	Derek B. Cornish	Cesare Beccaria & Jeremy Bentham (classical); Gary Becker & Daniel Nagin (modern)
类型	Qualitative procedural decomposition of crime commission	Theory and empirical analysis of how punishment deters offending
开创性文献	Cornish, D. B. (1994). The procedural analysis of offending and its relevance for situational prevention. Crime Prevention Studies, 3, 151–196.	Nagin, D. S. (2013). Deterrence in the twenty-first century: A review of the evidence. Crime and Justice, 42(1), 199–263.
别名	Crime Scripting, Script Analysis, Procedural Analysis of Offending, Offense Script Analysis	Deterrence Theory, Certainty-Severity-Celerity Analysis, Perceptual Deterrence Analysis, Focused Deterrence Analysis
相关	4	4
摘要	Crime script analysis adapts the cognitive concept of a 'script' — the ordered sequence of actions for a routine activity, like dining at a restaurant — to crime. Introduced by Derek Cornish in 1994, it decomposes a complete offense into its successive scenes and actions, from preparation through entry, the act itself, and exit, exposing the requirements at each stage and the points where intervention can break the sequence.	Deterrence analysis studies how the threat and imposition of legal punishment discourage crime. Rooted in classical criminology and formalized in Gary Becker's economic model, it distinguishes the certainty, severity, and celerity of punishment, separates perceived from objective sanction risk, and uses quasi-experimental and perceptual evidence — synthesized by Daniel Nagin — to test how much, and through what channels, punishment actually deters.