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成本-效益分析 (CEA)×Markov 模型在卫生经济学中的应用×
领域卫生经济学卫生经济学
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份19841983
提出者Drummond & Stoddart (Health Economics Research Group, McMaster University)Beck & Pauker (medical decision analysis, Massachusetts General Hospital)
类型MethodMethod
开创性文献Gold, M. R., Siegel, J. E., Russell, L. B., & Weinstein, M. C. (Eds.). (1996). Cost-Effectiveness in Health and Medicine. New York: Oxford University Press. link ↗Beck, J. R., & Pauker, S. G. (1983). The Markov Process in Medical Prognosis. Medical Decision Making, 3(4), 419-458. DOI ↗
别名CEA, ICER, Incremental Cost-Effectiveness RatioMarkov model, state transition model, cohort simulation
相关55
摘要Cost-effectiveness analysis compares the incremental cost per unit of health benefit gained by one intervention relative to a comparator (standard care or best alternative). Developed rigorously in the 1980s by Drummond, Stoddart, and colleagues, CEA is now the standard framework for technology appraisal globally. NICE, HAS, CADTH, and other health technology assessment bodies use CEA to decide which treatments warrant public funding and at what price.A Markov model is a decision-analytic tool that simulates disease progression through defined health states over time, calculating cumulative costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) to enable cost-effectiveness analysis. Developed by Beck and Pauker in 1983, Markov models are now the standard framework for projecting long-term outcomes of health interventions, especially chronic diseases where patients transition between clinical states (treatment response, disease progression, remission, death). Used by health technology assessment bodies and pharmaceutical companies to predict intervention value beyond trial duration.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Cost-Effectiveness Analysis · Markov Model in Health Economics. 于 2026-06-20 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare