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捕获-再捕获种群估计×Crime Concentration Index×
领域调查方法论Criminology
方法族Regression modelProcess / pipeline
起源年份19781989
提出者Otis, Burnham, White & AndersonLawrence Sherman, Patrick Gartin & Michael Buerger; David Weisburd
类型Probabilistic population size estimatorDescriptive concentration measure for crime across micro-places
开创性文献Otis, D. L., Burnham, K. P., White, G. C., & Anderson, D. R. (1978). Statistical inference from capture data on closed animal populations. Wildlife Monographs, 62, 3–135. link ↗Sherman, L. W., Gartin, P. R., & Buerger, M. E. (1989). Hot spots of predatory crime: Routine activities and the criminology of place. Criminology, 27(1), 27–56. DOI ↗
别名Mark-Recapture, Tag-Recapture, Mark-Release-Recapture, İşaretle-Yeniden YakalaCrime Concentration at Place, Hot-Spot Concentration Measure, Cumulative Crime Concentration, Law of Crime Concentration
相关24
摘要Capture-recapture (also known as mark-recapture) is a statistical method for estimating the size of an unknown population by sampling it twice and tracking which individuals appear in both samples. Formally systematized for closed animal populations by Otis, Burnham, White, and Anderson in their landmark 1978 Wildlife Monographs paper, the method extends naturally to human populations, epidemiology, and incomplete administrative records.The crime concentration index quantifies how unevenly crime is distributed across micro-geographic places such as street segments or addresses. Building on Sherman, Gartin, and Buerger's 1989 discovery that a small fraction of addresses produces most calls for police service, and formalized in Weisburd's 2015 'law of crime concentration', it expresses the share of all crime accounted for by the most crime-prone places.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Capture-Recapture · Crime Concentration Index. 于 2026-06-25 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare