方法对比

	预算影响分析 (BIA)	卫生经济学中的决策分析模型
领域	卫生经济学	卫生经济学
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	2005	1975
提出者	Sullivan, Mauskopf, and colleagues (ISPOR task force)	Pauker & Kassirer (medical decision analysis, Massachusetts General Hospital)
类型	Method	Method
开创性文献	Sullivan, S. D., Mauskopf, J. A., Augustovski, F., et al. (2014). Budget Impact Analysis—Principles of Good Practice: Report of the ISPOR 2012 Budget Impact Analysis Good Practice II Task Force. Value in Health, 17(1), 5-14.	Pauker, S. G., & Kassirer, J. P. (1975). Therapeutic Decision Making: A Cost-Benefit Analysis. New England Journal of Medicine, 293(5), 229-234.
别名	BIA, financial impact assessment, budget consequence analysis	decision analysis, decision tree, decision model, health economic model
相关	5	5
摘要	Budget impact analysis estimates the financial consequences (net costs or savings) of implementing a new health technology in a specific healthcare system or population over a short time horizon (typically 1–5 years). Distinct from cost-effectiveness analysis (which compares health outcomes per dollar), BIA answers a budgetary question: 'If we adopt this new drug/device, how much will it cost our health system next year?' Widely used by hospital procurement committees, insurance formularies, and government health budgets to assess financial feasibility and reimbursement decision.	Decision analytic modeling is a systematic framework for comparing health interventions by integrating evidence on probabilities, outcomes, costs, and patient preferences into a quantitative model. Developed by Pauker and Kassirer in 1975, decision analysis structures clinical uncertainty and economic trade-offs, enabling transparent comparison of treatment options and identification of optimal strategies. Used in health technology assessment, clinical practice guideline development, and resource allocation decisions.