方法对比

	贝叶斯根本原因分析	失效模式与影响分析 (FMEA)
领域	实验设计	实验设计
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1990s–2000s	1949 (military); widespread industrial adoption 1970s–1980s
提出者	Rooted in Pearl's Bayesian network theory (Judea Pearl, 1988); applied to RCA in process/reliability engineering from the 1990s onward	U.S. Military / NASA (formalized by MIL-P-1629, 1949)
类型	Probabilistic causal inference method	Proactive risk analysis technique
开创性文献	Pourret, O., Naim, P., & Marcot, B. (Eds.). (2008). Bayesian Networks: A Practical Guide to Applications. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0470060308	Stamatis, D. H. (2003). Failure Mode and Effect Analysis: FMEA from Theory to Execution (2nd ed.). ASQ Quality Press. ISBN: 978-0873895989
别名	Bayesian RCA, Bayesian causal analysis, probabilistic root cause analysis, BN-RCA	FMEA, Failure Modes and Effects Analysis, FMECA, Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis
相关	6	6
摘要	Bayesian Root Cause Analysis (Bayesian RCA) integrates Bayesian network theory with structured root cause investigation to quantify the probability that each candidate cause is responsible for an observed failure or undesired event. Unlike deterministic RCA methods, it propagates uncertainty through the causal graph, updates beliefs as evidence accumulates, and ranks competing hypotheses by posterior probability — providing a principled, auditable basis for corrective action.	Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) is a structured, proactive risk management technique used to identify potential failure modes in a system, process, or product design, evaluate their consequences, and prioritize corrective actions before failures occur. Originally developed for the U.S. military in 1949 and later adopted by NASA, automotive, and manufacturing industries, FMEA is now a cornerstone quality-engineering tool embedded in standards such as AIAG-VDA and ISO 9001-aligned processes.