方法对比

	贝叶斯倾向得分加权	Marginal Structural Model (MSM)
领域	因果推断	因果推断
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	2009	2000
提出者	McCandless, Gustafson & Austin	James M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette Brumback
类型	Bayesian causal weighting estimator	Causal model / semiparametric weighting
开创性文献	McCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2009). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 28(1), 94–112.	Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560.
别名	Bayesian PSW, Bayesian IPW, Bayesian inverse probability weighting, Bayesian propensity weighting	MSM, MSM-IPTW, marginal structural Cox model, weighted structural model
相关	6	5
摘要	Bayesian Propensity Score Weighting estimates causal treatment effects in observational data by combining a Bayesian model for the propensity score with inverse probability weighting. By placing a prior over propensity-score parameters and propagating posterior uncertainty through the weighting step, this approach yields fully probabilistic uncertainty intervals for the average treatment effect, accounting for the uncertainty in both the score model and the outcome.	A marginal structural model is a causal modeling framework designed to estimate the effect of a time-varying treatment in the presence of time-varying confounders that are themselves affected by prior treatment. By reweighting observations with inverse probability of treatment weights, MSMs create a pseudo-population in which confounding is eliminated, enabling unbiased estimation of causal treatment contrasts even when standard regression adjustments would fail.