方法对比

	贝叶斯倾向得分加权	贝叶斯双重差分法
领域	因果推断	因果推断
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	2009	2015-2023
提出者	McCandless, Gustafson & Austin	Li & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)
类型	Bayesian causal weighting estimator	Bayesian causal inference / panel regression
开创性文献	McCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2009). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 28(1), 94–112.	Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529.
别名	Bayesian PSW, Bayesian IPW, Bayesian inverse probability weighting, Bayesian propensity weighting	Bayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator
相关	6	5
摘要	Bayesian Propensity Score Weighting estimates causal treatment effects in observational data by combining a Bayesian model for the propensity score with inverse probability weighting. By placing a prior over propensity-score parameters and propagating posterior uncertainty through the weighting step, this approach yields fully probabilistic uncertainty intervals for the average treatment effect, accounting for the uncertainty in both the score model and the outcome.	Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.