方法对比

	贝叶斯负二项回归	贝叶斯零膨胀模型
领域	统计学	统计学
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	1990s–2000s	1992–2006
提出者	Gelman, Carlin, Stern, Dunson, Vehtari & Rubin; Cameron & Trivedi	Lambert (1992) for ZIP; Bayesian extension by Ghosh, Mukhopadhyay & Lu (2006)
类型	Bayesian GLM for overdispersed counts	Bayesian count regression
开创性文献	Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A., & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955	Ghosh, S. K., Mukhopadhyay, P., & Lu, J.-C. (2006). Bayesian analysis of zero-inflated regression models. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 136(4), 1360–1375.
别名	Bayesian NB regression, Bayesian negbin model, Bayesian overdispersed count regression, Bayesian NB-2 model	Bayesian ZIP, Bayesian ZINB, Bayesian zero-inflated Poisson, Bayesian zero-inflated negative binomial
相关	6	5
摘要	Bayesian Negative Binomial Regression models non-negative integer count outcomes that exhibit overdispersion — where the variance exceeds the mean — by placing a negative binomial likelihood on the data and specifying prior distributions over the regression coefficients and the dispersion parameter. Posterior inference is typically performed via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational methods, yielding full posterior distributions rather than point estimates.	The Bayesian zero-inflated model handles count data with excess zeros by combining a binary component — identifying structural zeros — with a count component (Poisson or negative binomial) for the remaining counts. Bayesian inference via MCMC provides full posterior distributions for all parameters, enabling principled uncertainty quantification and regularisation through priors.