方法对比

	Bayesian Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity	模糊回归断点设计
领域	因果推断	因果推断
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	2001 (fuzzy RD identification); 2016 (Bayesian formulation by Chib & Jacobi)	2001
提出者	Chib & Jacobi (Bayesian formulation); Hahn, Todd & Van der Klaauw (fuzzy RD identification)	Hahn, Todd & van der Klaauw
类型	Bayesian causal inference / quasi-experimental design	Quasi-experimental causal inference
开创性文献	Hahn, J., Todd, P., & Van der Klaauw, W. (2001). Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design. Review of Economic Studies, 68(1), 201-209.	Hahn, J., Todd, P., & van der Klaauw, W. (2001). Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design. Review of Economic Studies, 68(1), 201-209.
别名	Bayesian Fuzzy RD, Bayesian Fuzzy RDD, Fuzzy RD with Bayesian Inference	Fuzzy RD, Fuzzy RDD, Fuzzy RD Design, Imperfect RDD
相关	5	5
摘要	Bayesian Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity (Bayesian Fuzzy RD) combines the quasi-experimental logic of fuzzy regression discontinuity design with full Bayesian inference. It estimates a local average treatment effect at a policy threshold where treatment assignment is probabilistic rather than deterministic, placing prior distributions over all unknowns and recovering a complete posterior distribution of the causal effect rather than a single point estimate.	Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Design (Fuzzy RDD) estimates causal effects when eligibility for a treatment is determined by a threshold on a running variable but actual take-up of that treatment is imperfect — some eligible units do not receive treatment and some ineligible units do. The cutoff acts as an instrument, and the estimand is a Local Average Treatment Effect (LATE) for compliers near the threshold.