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贝叶斯动态规划×贝叶斯马尔可夫模型×
领域仿真仿真
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份1957 (Bellman DP); Bayesian extensions 1990s–2000s1990s–2000s
提出者Bellman, R.; extended by Bayesian frameworks (Duff, Bertsekas)Briggs, A.; Sculpher, M.; and broader Bayesian statistics community
类型Sequential optimization with Bayesian belief updatingProbabilistic state-transition simulation
开创性文献Bertsekas, D. P. (1995). Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control. Athena Scientific, Belmont, MA. ISBN: 9781886529267Briggs, A., Sculpher, M., Claxton, K. (2006). Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation. Oxford University Press, Oxford. ISBN: 9780198526629
别名BDP, Bayesian DP, Bayesian sequential optimization, Bayesian stochastic controlBayesian Markov Chain Model, Bayesian State-Transition Model, BMM, Bayesian Cohort Simulation
相关44
摘要Bayesian Dynamic Programming (BDP) combines Bellman's dynamic programming framework with Bayesian inference to optimize sequential decisions when transition probabilities or reward structures are unknown. At each stage, the agent updates beliefs about the environment using observed outcomes, then computes an optimal policy that explicitly accounts for both immediate rewards and the value of information gained through exploration.A Bayesian Markov model is a state-transition simulation method that combines Markov chain cohort modeling with Bayesian statistical inference. By placing prior distributions on transition probabilities and updating them with observed data, the approach propagates full parameter uncertainty through the simulation, yielding posterior distributions over outcomes such as costs, life-years, or quality-adjusted life-years rather than single-point estimates.
ScholarGate数据集
  1. v1
  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Bayesian Dynamic Programming · Bayesian Markov Model. 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare