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贝叶斯自回归条件异方差模型×动态条件相关 (DCC-GARCH) 模型×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份1982 (ARCH); 1989 (Bayesian estimation)2002
提出者Robert F. Engle (ARCH, 1982); Bayesian treatment: John Geweke (1989)Robert F. Engle
类型Volatility model with Bayesian inferenceMultivariate volatility model
开创性文献Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
别名Bayesian ARCH, ARCH with Bayesian estimation, Bayesian conditional heteroskedasticity model, B-ARCHDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
相关65
摘要The Bayesian ARCH model estimates Engle's Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity specification within a Bayesian framework. Instead of maximising a likelihood, it combines a prior distribution over the volatility parameters with the data likelihood to obtain a full posterior distribution, providing richer uncertainty quantification than classical maximum-likelihood ARCH.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.
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  1. v1
  2. 2 来源
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Bayesian ARCH model · DCC-GARCH model. 于 2026-06-17 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare