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ARIMA(自回归积分滑动平均)模型×基于案例推理 (CBR)×
领域计量经济学软计算
方法族Regression modelMachine learning
起源年份20151994
提出者Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Janet Kolodner; Agnar Aamodt & Enric Plaza (R4 cycle)
类型Univariate time-series modelExperience-based (analogical) problem solving
开创性文献Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Aamodt, A., & Plaza, E. (1994). Case-based reasoning: Foundational issues, methodological variations, and system approaches. AI Communications, 7(1), 39–59. DOI ↗
别名Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliCBR, case-based reasoning cycle, analogy-based reasoning, vaka tabanlı akıl yürütme
相关52
摘要ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).Case-based reasoning solves a new problem by retrieving similar problems solved in the past and adapting their solutions, rather than reasoning from first principles or a trained statistical model. Formalized as the Retrieve-Reuse-Revise-Retain cycle by Aamodt and Plaza in 1994 and popularized by Janet Kolodner, CBR mirrors how human experts in medicine, law, and engineering reason by analogy from remembered cases, and it learns simply by storing each newly solved case.
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ScholarGate方法对比: ARIMA · Case-Based Reasoning. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare