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时间序列序列蒙特卡洛方法

时间序列序列蒙特卡洛方法(SMC),通常称为粒子滤波器,是一种贝叶斯模拟方法,它在观测值逐个到来时跟踪动态系统的隐藏状态。一组加权的随机样本——粒子——通过系统动力学向前传播,根据每个粒子对新观测值的解释程度进行重新加权,并定期重采样以使表示集中在合理的可能状态上。

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来源

  1. Gordon, N. J., Salmond, D. J., & Smith, A. F. M. (1993). Novel approach to nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation. IEE Proceedings F — Radar and Signal Processing, 140(2), 107–113. DOI: 10.1049/ip-f-2.1993.0015
  2. Doucet, A., de Freitas, N., & Gordon, N. (Eds.). (2001). Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice. Springer. ISBN: 978-0387951461

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Time Series. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/bayesian/time-series-sequential-monte-carlo

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ScholarGateTime series sequential Monte Carlo (Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Time Series). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/bayesian/time-series-sequential-monte-carlo · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026