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稳健蒙特卡洛模拟

稳健蒙特卡洛模拟通过明确考虑输入分布、模型结构或参数假设中的不确定性,来扩展标准的蒙特卡洛方法。分析师不为每个输入假设一个单一的固定概率分布,而是考虑一族可能的分布,并评估输出对这些选择的敏感性,从而得出在一定合理假设范围内成立的结论。

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来源

  1. Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M. & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0470059975
  2. Rubinstein, R. Y. & Kroese, D. P. (2016). Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method (3rd ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118632161

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Robust Monte Carlo Simulation. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/bayesian/robust-monte-carlo-simulation

Which method?

Set this method beside its closest kin and read them side by side — the library lays the books on the table; the choice is yours.

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ScholarGateRobust Monte Carlo Simulation (Robust Monte Carlo Simulation). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/bayesian/robust-monte-carlo-simulation · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026