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稳健贝叶斯模型平均

稳健贝叶斯模型平均(Robust Bayesian Model Averaging, RBMA)通过用重尾或混合先验(例如,g-先验的混合)以及可选的稳健似然函数替代敏感的共轭先验,扩展了标准贝叶斯模型平均(Bayesian Model Averaging, BMA)。这样,当数据包含异常值、有影响的观测值,或者模型参数的先验可能主导结果时,后验模型概率和平均估计值仍能保持稳定。

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来源

  1. Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E., & Volinsky, C. T. (1999). Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial. Statistical Science, 14(4), 382–401. link
  2. Ley, E., & Steel, M. F. J. (2012). Mixtures of g-priors for Bayesian model averaging with economic applications. Journal of Econometrics, 171(2), 251–266. link

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Robust Bayesian Model Averaging. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/bayesian/robust-bayesian-model-averaging

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ScholarGateRobust Bayesian Model Averaging (Robust Bayesian Model Averaging). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/bayesian/robust-bayesian-model-averaging · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026