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多层贝叶斯模型平均

多层贝叶斯模型平均(ML-BMA)将经典的贝叶斯模型平均扩展到分组或分层结构数据。它不依赖于单一的多层模型规范,而是计算一组候选多层模型预测和参数估计的加权平均值,每个模型的权重由其在给定数据下的后验概率决定。结果同时考虑了分组结构、固定效应、随机效应和协变量选择方面的不确定性。

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来源

  1. Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E. & Volinsky, C. T. (1999). Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial. Statistical Science, 14(4), 382-401. link
  2. Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Multilevel Bayesian Model Averaging. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/bayesian/multilevel-bayesian-model-averaging

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ScholarGateMultilevel Bayesian Model Averaging (Multilevel Bayesian Model Averaging). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/bayesian/multilevel-bayesian-model-averaging · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026