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Mô hình VAR mở rộng nhân tố với tham số biến đổi theo thời gian×Local Projections×VAR Ngưỡng Bảng×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời200520051996
Người khởi xướngBernanke, Boivin, and EliaszOscar JordaBruce Hansen and colleagues
LoạiTime-varying systemMulti-horizon regressionNonlinear panel model
Công trình gốcBernanke, B. S., Boivin, J., & Eliasz, P. S. (2005). Measuring monetary policy. Journal of Political Economy, 113(1), 161-208. link ↗Jorda, O. (2005). Estimation and inference of impulse responses by local projections. American Economic Review, 95(1), 161-182. DOI ↗Hansen, B. E. (1996). Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 12(3), 386-414. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácDynamic factor model with time-varying parametersLP-IR, Multi-horizon regressionPanel-VAR with regime switching
Liên quan333
Tóm tắtTVP-FAVAR is a hybrid framework combining factor-augmented VARs with time-varying parameter estimation via Kalman filtering. Introduced by Bernanke et al. (2005) and refined by Primiceri (2005), it extracts latent economic factors (e.g., a 'common monetary policy shock') from high-dimensional data while allowing VAR coefficients to evolve stochastically over time. This framework captures both reduced-dimensionality patterns and structural instability, making it ideal for studying evolving policy regimes and shock dynamics.Local Projections (LP) is a semi-parametric method for estimating impulse responses directly via multi-horizon regressions, bypassing VAR-model specification. Introduced by Jorda (2005), it projects outcomes h periods ahead onto current shocks and lags, producing impulse-response functions without assuming a particular lag structure or VAR order. This flexibility has made it the dominant approach in applied macroeconomics for measuring policy effects and shock transmission.The Threshold Panel VAR extends the standard vector autoregression framework to accommodate regime-switching behavior where relationships change when a threshold variable crosses a critical level. Introduced by Hansen (1996) and applied to panels by Caner and Hansen (2001), it allows different dynamic relationships across regimes (e.g., expansions versus recessions) while exploiting the cross-sectional dimension of panel data. This nonlinear framework captures state-dependent policy effects and economic mechanisms.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: TVP-FAVAR · Local Projections · Threshold Panel VAR. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-20 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare