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Transition Management×Technology Foresight×
Lĩnh vựcScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
HọProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời20011995
Người khởi xướngJan Rotmans, René Kemp & Derk LoorbachBen R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmes
LoạiPrescriptive, complexity-based governance frameworkParticipatory future-oriented strategic process
Công trình gốcLoorbach, D. (2010). Transition management for sustainable development: a prescriptive, complexity-based governance framework. Governance, 23(1), 161-183. DOI ↗Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácTM, Transition governance framework, Transition arena approachForesight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysis
Liên quan44
Tóm tắtTransition Management (TM) is a prescriptive, complexity-based governance framework for deliberately steering long-term, structural change in sociotechnical systems toward sustainability. Rather than predicting or controlling outcomes, it organises a cyclical, participatory process—strategic, tactical, operational, and reflexive activities—through which a small group of frontrunners develops shared long-term visions, translates them into agendas and coalitions, mobilises experiments, and continuously monitors and learns. It applies insights from transitions research to the question of how societies might govern their own transformations.Technology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action.
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