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VAR Ngưỡng Bảng×Global VAR×Hồi quy chuyển đổi trơn tru trên dữ liệu bảng×Mô hình VAR mở rộng nhân tố với tham số biến đổi theo thời gian×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời1996200420052005
Người khởi xướngBruce Hansen and colleaguesPesaran, Schuermann, and WeinerGonzalez, Terasvirta, and van DijkBernanke, Boivin, and Eliasz
LoạiNonlinear panel modelInternational system modelSmooth-regime panel modelTime-varying system
Công trình gốcHansen, B. E. (1996). Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 12(3), 386-414. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Schuermann, T., & Weiner, S. M. (2004). Modeling regional interdependencies using a global error-correcting macroeconometric model. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 22(2), 129-162. DOI ↗Gonzalez, A., Terasvirta, T., & van Dijk, D. (2005). Panel smooth transition regression models. Research Paper, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research. link ↗Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J., & Eliasz, P. S. (2005). Measuring monetary policy. Journal of Political Economy, 113(1), 161-208. link ↗
Tên gọi khácPanel-VAR with regime switchingGVAR, Multi-country VARSmooth-transition panel modelDynamic factor model with time-varying parameters
Liên quan3333
Tóm tắtThe Threshold Panel VAR extends the standard vector autoregression framework to accommodate regime-switching behavior where relationships change when a threshold variable crosses a critical level. Introduced by Hansen (1996) and applied to panels by Caner and Hansen (2001), it allows different dynamic relationships across regimes (e.g., expansions versus recessions) while exploiting the cross-sectional dimension of panel data. This nonlinear framework captures state-dependent policy effects and economic mechanisms.Global VAR (GVAR) is a large-scale macroeconomic modeling framework linking multiple countries (or regions) via trade and financial channels, allowing shocks in one country to propagate through the global system. Introduced by Pesaran et al. (2004), it solves the curse of dimensionality in international VAR models by estimating country-specific VARs conditional on foreign variables, then solving a system linking all countries. This approach is invaluable for analyzing global spillovers and international policy coordination.Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) models nonlinear panel relationships where coefficients transition smoothly (rather than abruptly) between regimes as a transition variable crosses thresholds. Introduced by Gonzalez et al. (2005), it extends univariate smooth-transition autoregression (STAR) models to panels, capturing gradual shifts in economic behavior. This approach is realistic when adjustment costs cause smooth (not sudden) regime changes.TVP-FAVAR is a hybrid framework combining factor-augmented VARs with time-varying parameter estimation via Kalman filtering. Introduced by Bernanke et al. (2005) and refined by Primiceri (2005), it extracts latent economic factors (e.g., a 'common monetary policy shock') from high-dimensional data while allowing VAR coefficients to evolve stochastically over time. This framework captures both reduced-dimensionality patterns and structural instability, making it ideal for studying evolving policy regimes and shock dynamics.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Threshold Panel VAR · Global VAR · Panel Smooth Transition Regression · TVP-FAVAR. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-19 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare