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| Robust Counterfactual Impact Evaluation× | Đánh giá Tác động Phản thực tế (CIE)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Suy luận nhân quả | Suy luận nhân quả |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2010s | 1970s–2000s |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | European Commission evaluation community; Pellegrini, Ferrara and colleagues | Heckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature |
| Loại≠ | Robustness-validated causal evaluation | Causal inference / program evaluation |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Bia, M., Flores, C. A., Flores-Lagunes, A., & Mattei, A. (2014). A Stata package for the application of semiparametric estimators of dose–response functions. Stata Journal, 14(3), 580–604. link ↗ | Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | Robust CIE, Sensitivity-checked CIE, Multi-method counterfactual evaluation, Robustness-validated impact evaluation | CIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation |
| Liên quan | 5 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Robust Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (Robust CIE) strengthens causal impact estimates by combining multiple quasi-experimental estimators, placebo tests, and formal sensitivity analyses. Rather than relying on a single method, it cross-validates findings across approaches — such as matching, difference-in-differences, and regression discontinuity — to ensure that conclusions do not depend on any single methodological choice. | Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice. |
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