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| Phương pháp Kiểm soát Tổng hợp để Đánh giá Chính sách× | Phương pháp Sai phân kép (Difference-in-Differences - DiD)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực≠ | Suy luận nhân quả | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2003-2010 | 1994 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal; extended by Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller | Card & Krueger (canonical 1994 application); Angrist & Pischke (textbook treatment) |
| Loại≠ | Causal inference / comparative case study | Causal inference / panel regression |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ | Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J.-S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0691120355 |
| Tên gọi khác≠ | Synthetic Control Method, SCM, Synthetic Control, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method | diff-in-diff, DiD, Farkların Farkı (Diff-in-Diff) |
| Liên quan | 5 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Synthetic Control Method (SCM) is a causal inference technique for evaluating the effect of a policy or intervention on a single treated unit — such as a region, country, or firm — by constructing a weighted combination of untreated comparison units that closely mirrors the treated unit before the intervention. Introduced by Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003) and formalized by Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller (2010), it provides a data-driven, transparent counterfactual for comparative case studies. | Difference-in-Differences is a causal-inference method that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing how a treatment group and a control group change over time. Made famous by Card and Krueger's 1994 minimum-wage study and developed in Angrist and Pischke's Mostly Harmless Econometrics, it isolates the treatment effect as the difference between the two groups' before-after changes. |
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