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| Kiểm định Nhân quả Toda-Yamamoto Phi tuyến× | Kiểm định nhân quả Granger phi tuyến× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1995 (base); nonlinear extensions 2000s–2010s | 1992-2006 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Toda & Yamamoto (1995) for the linear base; nonlinear extension developed by subsequent researchers applying rank transformations or neural-network-augmented VAR | Baek & Brock (1992); Hiemstra & Jones (1994); Diks & Panchenko (2006) |
| Loại≠ | Causality test | Nonparametric causality test |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI ↗ | Diks, C., & Panchenko, V. (2006). A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30(9-10), 1647-1669. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | nonlinear TY causality, rank-based Toda-Yamamoto test, modified Wald nonlinear causality, NTY causality test | nonlinear causality test, BDS-based causality, Diks-Panchenko test, nonparametric Granger causality |
| Liên quan≠ | 5 | 6 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Nonlinear Toda-Yamamoto causality test extends the classic Toda-Yamamoto (1995) modified Wald procedure to detect causal linkages that are hidden in the means of series but manifest through nonlinear dynamics such as asymmetries, threshold effects, or volatility transmission. It fits an augmented VAR on rank-transformed or otherwise nonlinearly mapped series and applies a chi-squared Wald test on the extra-lag coefficients. | Nonlinear Granger causality extends the classic linear Granger causality framework to detect predictive relationships that operate through nonlinear dynamics. Using nonparametric or semi-parametric statistics based on correlation integrals or kernel density estimation, it identifies whether past values of one variable improve forecasts of another beyond what any linear model can capture. |
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