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| Mô hình TGARCH phi tuyến tính× | Mô hình TGARCH (Threshold GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1993–1994 | 1993-1994 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Jean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle | Zakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993) |
| Loại≠ | Conditional heteroskedasticity model | Asymmetric volatility model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | NL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variant | Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH |
| Liên quan≠ | 4 | 6 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series. | The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative. |
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