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| Mô hình GARCH phi tuyến× | Mô hình ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1991-1993 | 1982 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle; Nelson (1991) for EGARCH | Robert F. Engle |
| Loại≠ | Volatility model | Conditional volatility model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | NL-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH, GJR-GARCH, nonlinear volatility model | ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model |
| Liên quan | 6 | 6 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Nonlinear GARCH model extends the standard GARCH framework to capture asymmetric and nonlinear responses of conditional volatility to past shocks. It allows negative returns (bad news) to amplify volatility more than positive returns of equal magnitude, a phenomenon known as the leverage effect, which is empirically pervasive in financial markets. | The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering. |
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