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| Đánh giá Tác động Phản thực Đa kỳ× | Đánh giá Tác động Phản thực tế (CIE)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Suy luận nhân quả | Suy luận nhân quả |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2000s–2010s | 1970s–2000s |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Developed through EU policy evaluation practice (European Commission); formalized by Lechner, Caliendo, and related econometricians | Heckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature |
| Loại≠ | Causal inference / quasi-experimental evaluation | Causal inference / program evaluation |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Caliendo, M., & Kopeinig, S. (2008). Some Practical Guidance for the Implementation of Propensity Score Matching. Journal of Economic Surveys, 22(1), 31-72. DOI ↗ | Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | multi-period CIE, longitudinal counterfactual evaluation, dynamic counterfactual impact evaluation, multi-wave CIE | CIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation |
| Liên quan≠ | 4 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Multi-period Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE) estimates the causal effect of a policy or program by constructing what would have happened to treated units across multiple time periods had they not been treated. Unlike single-period evaluations, it tracks treatment effects as they evolve over time, capturing dynamic, delayed, or fading impacts that a two-period comparison would miss. | Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice. |
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